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  • Blu-Ray already coughing up blood

    Samsung: Blu-ray has 5 Years Left, OLED HD on the Way


    Andy Griffiths, director of consumer electronics at Samsung forsees a short future for Blu-ray

    Blu-ray has 5 years left before it is replaced by a new technology or format according to Samsung. Andy Griffiths, director of consumer electronics at Samsung UK told gadget news site Pocket-lint "I think it [Blu-ray] has 5 years left, I certainly wouldn't give it 10".

    Griffiths believes that 2008 will be the Blu-ray format's prime year. "It's going to be huge", he told Pocket-lint. "We are heavily back-ordered at the moment." With the move to offer cheaper players and one clear choice following the Blu-ray/HD DVD battle, Griffiths says the format will be a short term winner.

    In the article, Griffiths also mentions that Samsung is putting its faith in its OLED HD technology. The new technology is almost ready, but is being held back by high manufacturing costs. "We will launch the OLED technology when it's at a price that will be appealing to the consumer, unfortunately that's not yet."

    Griffiths, predicts by 2010 OLED technology will become mainstream and that it will replace LCD. "It's gonna be big, but at the moment it's a great story, not commercial, product," said Griffiths

    Samsung previewed two OLED screen televisions at IFA in Berlin earlier in the month, introducing larger models than Sony. Coming in at 14-inch and 31-inch models, the screens are incredibly thin, and produce vivid contrasts and colors. Sony settled for second place with 9-inch and 27-inch models.

    Griffiths believes a completely HD future is around the corner, "In 2012 we will be in a true HD world. Everything from your television to your camcorder will be offering you pictures in high-definition, and we plan to offer you that HD world from all angles." From Griffiths’ perspective, this future may not include Blu-ray.




    Glad I didn't invest in any Blu-Ray stuff. In five years, no physical media will make sense.

  • #2
    So Blu-Ray has five years left...but there's no mention of what "technology" there is out there to replace it?

    Blu-Ray will be around at least 7 years, and 10 wouldn't surprise me. Bank it.
    I like cheese.

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    • #3
      Originally posted by triggercut1 View Post
      So Blu-Ray has five years left...but there's no mention of what "technology" there is out there to replace it?

      Blu-Ray will be around at least 7 years, and 10 wouldn't surprise me. Bank it.
      The next generation would be download movies like what Netflix, Apple, etc are doing now.

      It'll take time but the infrastructure and demand will grow to the point where people do not want to handle physical media.

      We'll see.

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      • #4
        I'm certainly not going to say that Blu-Ray is doomed because of this article. That would be foolish. It'll eventually be replaced by something better, but I see Blu-Ray sticking around for quite sometime.
        Photobucket

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        • #5
          The issue isn't really whether Blu-Ray will be dead in five years. It's whether it's worth spending the bucks for Blu-Ray hardware, and especially Blu-Ray media, at this point in its cycle.

          I don't even really buy DVDs any more. I've never considered buying a Blu-Ray disc.

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          • #6
            Originally posted by Airshark View Post
            The issue isn't really whether Blu-Ray will be dead in five years. It's whether it's worth spending the bucks for Blu-Ray hardware, and especially Blu-Ray media, at this point in its cycle.

            I don't even really buy DVDs any more. I've never considered buying a Blu-Ray disc.
            I don't buy movies at all so I don't care. I just happen to have a PS3. Still the cheapest way to enjoy Blu-Ray.
            Photobucket

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            • #7
              I do buy movies, and consider Blu-Ray to be an easy upgrade. If you already have the sound system and HD-TV, a nex-gen movie playback vehicle is a must.

              Having seen what would qualify as a primitive version of download delivery through MS and Sony on their gaming consoles, I feel pretty confident in saying that this model won't replace physical media in the next few tech cycles.
              I like cheese.

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              • #8
                I've pretty much stopped buying movies all together. Between 2000 and 2005 or so, I bought 30-40 movies a year. In the last 2 years, I have bought 5 or so per year. I finally realized just how dumb it was to be buying all of these movies. The format war pretty much convinced me that in the future, renting is almost always the way to go. Having a big library of movies really isn't all that great. Not when you can have Netflix and TiVo and digital downloads. And the reality of the situation is, no matter how much you love a movie... there are only so many times you can really watch it.
                To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of the women.

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by ort View Post
                  I've pretty much stopped buying movies all together. Between 2000 and 2005 or so, I bought 30-40 movies a year. In the last 2 years, I have bought 5 or so per year. I finally realized just how dumb it was to be buying all of these movies. The format war pretty much convinced me that in the future, renting is almost always the way to go. Having a big library of movies really isn't all that great. Not when you can have Netflix and TiVo and digital downloads. And the reality of the situation is, no matter how much you love a movie... there are only so many times you can really watch it.
                  The next question is how many times you're going to go to the theater given the available content. I know my actual theater attendance is probably down 90% from ten years ago. I think I've actually been in a theater only two or three times this year.

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                  • #10
                    Different strokes for different folks, but I don't enjoy watching movies over and over so I see no purpose in purchasing them. I'd rather rent it, watch it, and be done.
                    Photobucket

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                    • #11
                      One more point, which should be mentioned: I don't see what OLED-HD has to do with Blu-Ray. One is a display technology, one is a media format. And the Samsung guy is just blowing smoke about OLED-HD, too - the market might really just bypass it entirely in favor of nano-crystal displays. I just recently got all the sets in my house up to HD standards. I'm not going to be ready to abandon them in five years for a totally new display technology, even nano-crystal, much less OLED-HD.

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by STL JA View Post
                        Different strokes for different folks, but I don't enjoy watching movies over and over so I see no purpose in purchasing them. I'd rather rent it, watch it, and be done.
                        I re-watch documentaries over and over. I've probably seen The World At War fifty times in its entirety. They make good background noise.

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                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Airshark View Post
                          One more point, which should be mentioned: I don't see what OLED-HD has to do with Blu-Ray. One is a display technology, one is a media format. And the Samsung guy is just blowing smoke about OLED-HD, too - the market might really just bypass it entirely in favor of nano-crystal displays. I just recently got all the sets in my house up to HD standards. I'm not going to be ready to abandon them in five years for a totally new display technology, even nano-crystal, much less OLED-HD.

                          Marketing, baby...not likes he's an unbiased source...I'm guessing he's doing the PR thing...
                          " Look, forget the myths the media's created about the White House--the truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand."

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Airshark View Post
                            I re-watch documentaries over and over. I've probably seen The World At War fifty times in its entirety. They make good background noise.

                            ++

                            This is the purpose of 80% of the television I watch...
                            " Look, forget the myths the media's created about the White House--the truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand."

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                            • #15
                              If you've never heard of nanocrystal displays, they are amazing. Quantum dots. Ultra-resolutions, ultra-pure colors, especially black.

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