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MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY WARNING

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  • MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY WARNING

    MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY WARNING
    Issued: 01:45 UTC on 11 September 2005
    Solar Terrestrial Dispatch
    www.spacew.com


    VALID BEGINNING AT: EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY
    VALID UNTIL: 23:00 UTC (6 pm EST) ON 14 SEPTEMBER

    HIGH RISK PERIOD: 11-13 SEPTEMBER (UTC DAYS)
    MODERATE RISK PERIOD: 11-14 SEPTEMBER

    PREDICTED ACTIVITY INDICES: 50, 40, 40, 20 (11 - 14 SEPTEMBER)

    POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE OF MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY: MODERATE TO HIGH

    POTENTIAL DURATION OF THIS ACTIVITY: MAIN BELT = 24-72 HOURS
    MINOR BELT = 72-96 HOURS

    ESTIMATED OPTIMUM OBSERVING CONDITIONS: NEAR OR AFTER LOCAL MIDNIGHT

    EXPECTED LUNAR INTERFERENCE: LOW TO MODERATE

    OVERALL OPPORTUNITY FOR OBSERVATIONS FROM MIDDLE LATITUDES: FAIR TO GOOD

    AURORAL ACTIVITY *MAY* BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY NORTH OF A LINE FROM...
    (THIS LINE IS VALID *ONLY* IF FAVORABLE STORM CONDITIONS OCCUR)

    OREGON TO SOUTHERN IDAHO AND NORTHERN UTAH TO WYOMING TO NEBRASKA TO
    NORTHERN MISSOURI TO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TO KENTUCKY TO VIRGINIA.

    ACTIVITY *MAY* ALSO BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY NORTH OF A LINE FROM...
    (THIS LINE IS VALID *ONLY* IF FAVORABLE STORM CONDITIONS OCCUR)

    CENTRAL FRANCE TO NORTHERN SWITZERLAND TO SOUTHERN GERMANY TO THE CZECH
    REPUBLIC TO POLAND TO CENTRAL RUSSIA.

    NEW ZELAND AND SOUTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA SHOULD ALSO BE ABLE TO SPOT PERIODS
    OF ACTIVITY.

    SYNOPSIS...

    A series of coronal mass ejections have been directed partially
    Earthward over the last few days. The Earth is beginning to observe impacts
    from some of the stronger events. Periods of intensifying auroral activity
    will be observed during the next several days. The first of the larger
    impacts occurred near 01:19 UTC on 11 September and is expected to produce
    periods of minor to major auroral storm conditions, sporadically during the
    next 12 to 18 hours. Additional strong impacts are expected over the next
    several days. Some of these disturbances are cannibalizing other CME's, and
    as a result, the potential geoeffectiveness will likely be complex and
    difficult to accurately predict. Nevertheless, the potential exists for
    periods of strong auroral storm conditions developing during the next several
    days (at least). Near-continuous storm-level activity is possible during the
    next week, if sunspot complex 10808 continues to impress with energetic flare
    activity.

    This warning will remain valid through 24:00 UTC (6 pm EDT) on
    14 September, with a good chance that it will be extended beyond the 14th.
    It will be updated or allowed to expire at that time. For updated
    information, visit: http://www.spacew.com/aurora/forum.html. For real-time
    plots of current activity, visit: http://www.spacew.com/plots.html

    PLEASE REPORT VALID OBSERVATIONS OF AURORAL ACTIVITY TO:
    http://www.spacew.com/submitsighting.html


    ** End of Warning **
    Official Lounge Sponsor of:
    Brett Hull & St. Patricks Day


  • #2
    Does this mean I could see something if I go outside tonight?
    If you believe in something sacrifice a hobo to it or don't bother.

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by Turd Ferguson@Sep 11 2005, 12:10 PM
      Does this mean I could see something if I go outside tonight?
      Yeah, this...

      RIP Chris Jones 1971-2009
      You'll never be forgotten.

      Comment


      • #4
        ....I am your Father.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Celtic@Sep 11 2005, 12:14 PM
          ....I am your Father.
          Can I borrow the car and $40 for gas?
          If you believe in something sacrifice a hobo to it or don't bother.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Turd Ferguson+Sep 11 2005, 12:19 PM-->
            QUOTE(Turd Ferguson @ Sep 11 2005, 12:19 PM)

          • #7
            radiation is beautiful, isn't it?
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            • #8
              Reading that made my head hurt.

              It almost took $50 to fill the tank of my car Friday. Exactly one dollar short. I'm going to run it down to fumes and go for it next time. JJ.

              Comment


              • #9
                I'm going to stay up and then take a drive to see if I can see anything...what a great way to end today!
                Feb. 08, 2005
                Lois Lane: What's the general opinion of a gal asking the guy out?

                Forever
                Lounge sponsor of YYZ and his Mardi Gras crew.
                Originally posted by Airshark
                NSane has already won - because the Sharks are well and truly ef'ed.

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                • #10
                  Originally posted by Nsane2Bme@Sep 11 2005, 10:58 PM
                  I'm going to stay up and then take a drive to see if I can see anything...what a great way to end today!
                  You mean Green Bay losing wasn't a great way to end today?

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                  • #11
                    Originally posted by steveInebriated+Sep 11 2005, 11:03 PM-->
                    QUOTE(steveInebriated @ Sep 11 2005, 11:03 PM)
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