Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY WARNING

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY WARNING

    VALID BEGINNING AT: EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY VALID UNTIL: 23:00 UTC (6 pm EST) ON 25 AUGUST

    HIGH RISK PERIOD: 24 AUGUST (UTC DAYS)
    MODERATE RISK PERIOD: 24-25 AUGUST

    PREDICTED ACTIVITY INDICES: 65, 30, 15, 12 (24 - 27 AUGUST)

    POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE OF MIDDLE LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY: MODERATE TO HIGH

    POTENTIAL DURATION OF THIS ACTIVITY: MAIN BELT = 12 HOURS
    MINOR BELT = 12-24 HOURS

    ESTIMATED OPTIMUM OBSERVING CONDITIONS: NEAR OR PRIOR TO LOCAL MIDNIGHT

    EXPECTED LUNAR INTERFERENCE: MODERATE TO HIGH

    OVERALL OPPORTUNITY FOR OBSERVATIONS FROM MIDDLE LATITUDES: FAIR TO GOOD

    AURORAL ACTIVITY *AUGUST* BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY NORTH OF A LINE FROM...
    (THIS LINE IS VALID *ONLY* IF FAVORABLE STORM CONDITIONS OCCUR)

    OREGON TO SOUTHERN IDAHO AND NORTHERN UTAH TO WYOMING TO NEBRASKA TO
    NORTHERN MISSOURI TO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TO KENTUCKY TO VIRGINIA.

    ACTIVITY *AUGUST* ALSO BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY NORTH OF A LINE FROM...
    (THIS LINE IS VALID *ONLY* IF FAVORABLE STORM CONDITIONS OCCUR)

    CENTRAL FRANCE TO NORTHERN SWITZERLAND TO SOUTHERN GERMANY TO THE CZECH
    REPUBLIC TO POLAND TO CENTRAL RUSSIA.

    NEW ZELAND AND SOUTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA SHOULD ALSO BE ABLE TO SPOT PERIODS
    OF ACTIVITY IF SUITABLE STORM CONDITIONS MATERIALIZE DURING DARKNESS.

    SYNOPSIS...

    The arrival of a coronal mass ejection from a recent major M5 solar flare has become much stronger than anticipated. Intense magnetic fields within the disturbance are currently being observed that have a favorable orientation for producing periods of strong auroral storm activity. Major to severe geomagnetic and auroral storming is expected to commence within the next several hours, particularly if current field orientations persist.
    Widespread mid-latitude observations of auroral activity may be observed, depsite the brightness of the moon. We do not expect the activity to persist into the evening hours of 24 August over North America.

    This warning will remain valid through 24:00 UTC (6 pm EDT) on
    25 August. Note that this is 24 hours later than the previous watch that was released. It will be updated or allowed to expire at that time. For updated information, visit: http://www.spacew.com/aurora/forum.html. For real-time plots of current activity, visit: http://www.spacew.com/plots.html

    PLEASE REPORT VALID OBSERVATIONS OF AURORAL ACTIVITY TO:
    http://www.spacew.com/submitsighting.html


    ** End of Warning **
    _______________________________________________
    Aurorawarn mailing list
    [email protected]
    http://spacew.com/mailman/listinfo/aurorawarn
    Official Lounge Sponsor of:
    Brett Hull & St. Patricks Day


  • #2
    does this mean the sun is going to go down on me?
    Are you on the list?

    Comment


    • #3
      Thanks B - one of these days I'm going to remember to go out and see what I can find during one of these.
      Feb. 08, 2005
      Lois Lane: What's the general opinion of a gal asking the guy out?

      Forever
      Lounge sponsor of YYZ and his Mardi Gras crew.
      Originally posted by Airshark
      NSane has already won - because the Sharks are well and truly ef'ed.

      Comment


      • #4
        is it going to clear up tonight?

        Official Sponsor of Marco Gonzales and the Productive Out!!!


        Said the Quangle Wangle Quee

        Comment


        • #5
          Should you use a telescope to see this better? We have one but have never been able to see anything out of it.
          Official Lounge Sponsor of Kentucky - The Bluegrass State
          Proud Sponsor of Kirkwood Athletic Associations's Gameface #5 DK
          Official Sponsor of the Lounge Badgers #13 Guppy
          Official Lounge Sponsor of the Rams # 81 Torry Holt
          NOW Sponsoring St. Louis Cardinals #3 Abraham Nunez
          LET'S GO CARDINALS!!!!! \"IPB

          "From there to here, from here to there, funny things are everywhere..."

          formerly aka Lois Lane - Going back to my hillbilly roots!

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Lois Lane@Aug 24 2005, 09:58 AM
            Should you use a telescope to see this better? We have one but have never been able to see anything out of it.
            Psssst...

            You're supposed to remove the cap before looking through...
            "Whaddya mean I hurt your feelings?"
            "I didn't know you
            had any feelings"

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by SunuvaNun+Aug 24 2005, 09:58 AM-->
              QUOTE(SunuvaNun @ Aug 24 2005, 09:58 AM)

            • #8
              Originally posted by Lois Lane@Aug 24 2005, 09:58 AM
              Should you use a telescope to see this better? We have one but have never been able to see anything out of it.

              No need for a telescope with the Aurora.

              If there are any updates on this warning I will let you all know.
              Official Lounge Sponsor of:
              Brett Hull & St. Patricks Day

              Comment


              • #9
                Originally posted by Lois Lane+Aug 24 2005, 10:03 AM-->
                QUOTE(Lois Lane @ Aug 24 2005, 10:03 AM)
                Originally posted by [email protected] 24 2005, 09:58 AM

              • #10
                Right now it does not appear that this storm will last until tonight, BUT there is another CME predicted to impact sometime today which could prolong the magnetic storm.
                Official Lounge Sponsor of:
                Brett Hull & St. Patricks Day

                Comment


                • #11
                  Originally posted by Nsane2Bme+Aug 24 2005, 10:31 AM-->
                  QUOTE(Nsane2Bme @ Aug 24 2005, 10:31 AM)
                  Originally posted by Lois [email protected] 24 2005, 10:03 AM
                  Originally posted by [email protected] 24 2005, 09:58 AM

                • #12
                  Originally posted by BlueBrained+Aug 24 2005, 10:35 AM-->
                  QUOTE(BlueBrained @ Aug 24 2005, 10:35 AM)
                  Originally posted by [email protected] 24 2005, 10:31 AM
                  Originally posted by Lois [email protected] 24 2005, 10:03 AM
                  Originally posted by [email protected] 24 2005, 09:58 AM

                • #13
                  Originally posted by BlueBrained@Aug 24 2005, 10:35 AM
                  Telescopes are not easy to use at all.

                  What have you tried to look at?

                  Have you tried using during the day to see if there is at least light coming through the lense?
                  I have looked through it during the day and pointed it towards a light in the room at night to make sure that there is light coming through. However, when we try to look at anything in the sky with it, all we see is black. I don't know if we have it pointed the wrong way, where we should point it, etc. I think I may need access to a smart person to help me with this.
                  Official Lounge Sponsor of Kentucky - The Bluegrass State
                  Proud Sponsor of Kirkwood Athletic Associations's Gameface #5 DK
                  Official Sponsor of the Lounge Badgers #13 Guppy
                  Official Lounge Sponsor of the Rams # 81 Torry Holt
                  NOW Sponsoring St. Louis Cardinals #3 Abraham Nunez
                  LET'S GO CARDINALS!!!!! \"IPB

                  "From there to here, from here to there, funny things are everywhere..."

                  formerly aka Lois Lane - Going back to my hillbilly roots!

                  Comment


                  • #14
                    Originally posted by Lois Lane+Aug 24 2005, 10:38 AM-->
                    QUOTE(Lois Lane @ Aug 24 2005, 10:38 AM)

                  • #15
                    Originally posted by Lois Lane+Aug 24 2005, 10:38 AM-->
                    QUOTE(Lois Lane @ Aug 24 2005, 10:38 AM)
                  Working...
                  X