Tweet
-
Norman Chad, syndicated columnist: “Sports radio, reflecting our sinking culture, spends entire days advising managers and coaches, berating managers and coaches, firing managers and coaches and searching the countryside for better middle relievers. If they just redirected their energy toward, say, crosswalk-signal maintenance, America would be 2 percent more livable.”
"The best argument against democracy," someone (Churchill?) said, "is a five minute conversation with the average voter." -
Oh, never mind. FOX NEWS poll.Originally posted by steveInebriated@Mar 8 2004, 10:02 AM
Why are these scenarios including Hilary? Considering her for Vice President is basically conceding the election.Comment
-
Originally posted by steveInebriated+Mar 8 2004, 11:02 AM-->QUOTE(steveInebriated @ Mar 8 2004, 11:02 AM)
Damn, you would think a stud like Kerry would have a lead on a fuck up like Bush.
Especially coming off of an easy primary, and jobs being so bad, and the economy tanking, and Iraq cluster fuck. I mean what is it that Bush is doing.Un-Official Sponsor of Randy Choate and Kevin SiegristComment
Originally posted by madyaks+Mar 8 2004, 10:06 AM-->QUOTE(madyaks @ Mar 8 2004, 10:06 AM)Originally posted by [email protected] 8 2004, 11:02 AM
Fox News Channel Poll, is there any need for further elaboration? And if Hillary is Kerry's running mate I will renounce my Democratic Party membership.Originally posted by lazydaze@Mar 8 2004, 10:07 AM
Damn, you would think a stud like Kerry would have a lead on a fuck up like Bush.
Especially coming off of an easy primary, and jobs being so bad, and the economy tanking, and Iraq cluster fuck. I mean what is it that Bush is doing."They misunderestimated me."
Bentonville, Ark., Nov. 6, 2000
"Our enemies are innovative and resourceful, and so are we. They never stop thinking about new ways to harm our country and our people, and neither do we."—Washington, D.C., Aug. 5, 2004
"If you're sick and tired of the politics of cynicism and polls and principles, come and join this campaign."
-Hilton Head, S.C., Feb. 16, 2000
Gives you the warm fuzzies, doesn't it?Comment
CNN has Kerry up 49 to 43.
Bush is done.Are you on the list?Comment
Yeah, Bush is done in March.....
Please...
"Can't buy what I want because it's free...
Can't buy what I want because it's free..."-- Pearl Jam, from the single CorduroyComment
I sure hope so. But Bush still has a lot of money and his campaign machine hasn't really started rolling yet. I still think in the end Kerry will win, especially with Edwards as a running mate, but this is far from over.Originally posted by SLUBLUE@Mar 8 2004, 12:43 PM
CNN has Kerry up 49 to 43.
Bush is done."They misunderestimated me."
Bentonville, Ark., Nov. 6, 2000
"Our enemies are innovative and resourceful, and so are we. They never stop thinking about new ways to harm our country and our people, and neither do we."—Washington, D.C., Aug. 5, 2004
"If you're sick and tired of the politics of cynicism and polls and principles, come and join this campaign."
-Hilton Head, S.C., Feb. 16, 2000
Gives you the warm fuzzies, doesn't it?Comment
We'll see in November.
Unfortunately many people (including some on this board) blame and credit Presidents for things they largely can't control.
Kerry will be vague enough to get lots of votes to go along with the anti-Bush votes. So, it will be a close election. Bush needs more job creation. But that said, the unemployment level isn't historically high."Need some wood?" -- George W. Bush, October 8, 2004
"Historians will judge if this war is just, not your punk ass." -- Dave Glover, December 8, 2004Comment
Originally posted by matt75+Mar 8 2004, 12:46 PM-->QUOTE(matt75 @ Mar 8 2004, 12:46 PM)
Originally posted by phantom+Mar 8 2004, 12:48 PM-->QUOTE(phantom @ Mar 8 2004, 12:48 PM)Originally posted by [email protected] 8 2004, 12:46 PM
Originally posted by phantom+Mar 8 2004, 12:48 PM-->QUOTE(phantom @ Mar 8 2004, 12:48 PM)Originally posted by [email protected] 8 2004, 12:46 PM
Worst economic record since the Great Depression. That's Dubya's resume.
Regarding polls, here is a link that includes better sources than Fox News:
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm
The upshot:
Most polls show a statistical tie, or very close. AP has Bush 46, Kerry 45. NPR has Bush 47, Kerry 45. Pew has Kerry 48, Bush 44. CBS News has Kerry 47, Bush 46. These polls go back to late February.
Three things to think about: One, the $200M Bush campaign juggernaut is just barely getting underway. However, like I said on the thread about Bush's commercials, if stuff like questioning Kerry's medals and 9/11 coffins are going to be key to their strategy, it's open to question how effective that $200M is going to be.
Two: the gay vote. One millon homosexuals, or 25% of the total gay vote, voted for Bush in 2000. They're pissed off about the Hate Amendment. Will the gay community be better motivated to turn out and vote Democratic? Dunno. Will an increased output in the Christian right make up for the better part of one million gays abandoning Bush? Dunno.
The other is Ralph Nader. I suspect very much that the Nader effect is being magnified right now. Nader is running at 6% in the AP poll. First, no way in hell is he going to get 6%. I'd be shocked if he does better than half of the 2.7% he got last time. Second, he's going to have to get on ballots, and he won't have the Green Party to help him. And it's illegal (sorry, GOPers) for the Republican Party to directly fund ballot access for Nader.
So we'll see how Nader does. The Democratic position is greatly improved if you assume, say, no more than 1.5% for Nader.
My guess as of right now is that Bush is still a slight favorite. But we have eight months to go, and no telling what will happen in the meantime.Comment
Working...
Comment